Its hard to believe we're already in 2025, but here we are. Hopefully you haven't written '2024' too often to begin the year.
Let's hop right in by looking at where things are moving and where they're not. To start with, I pulled my market update from October (showing September numbers) above and compared them to what we saw in December. As expected (but a little more so this year), inventory/Active Listings took a pretty significant nosedive entering into the last month of the year.
Why? Well, there are two main reasons; 1. We're coming off a 13-year high for inventory in the Denver Metro, insert Newton's Law...if you're a homeowner and you're competing with over 11,000 other listings, it made you think twice about listing at the end of the year. And, 2. While homeowners are ready to sell, in most cases they don't NEED to sell. So, taking a month to wait for seller's to re-enter the market after the new year makes a lot more financial sense.
Market Trends // Comparing 2023-to-2024
**Active Listings: 6,888 VS. 4,971
While there was a 26.02% decrease in the number of active listings this past month (compared to November), we're still holding at a pretty high level compared to last year. Remember, last year was a stalemate: SELLER'S didn't want to let go of their ridiculously low interest rates and BUYERS were unwilling to accept the reality of 6-7.5% rates (they were waiting for a drop).
Twelve months ago (December 2023) we had only 4,971 Active Listings. Compared to this year we've seen a big jump up: +38.56%! The reason behind this is due to homeowners finally getting sick of waiting, it's been 2 years of 6+% rates. Simply put, everybody is starting to get used to the new normal. Aside from a major national, or international, crisis, it's unlikely that we'll see a return to sub-3% rates. Thus, if you want to buy a home or sell a home, accepting the new normal is a must.
One piece I'd like to add to this: I am expecting to see rates relax a bit, but if you're holding out for a 3% mortgage you have 2 issues: 1. it's highly unlikely to happen, at least not anytime soon, and 2. a substantial decrease in interest rates will dramatically improve everybody's ability to bid up home prices.