I have way too much to say about the market right now. So, let me keep this somewhat short and encourage you to reach out if you'd like to chat further, I'm also down for some good conversation on the state of our economics!
To begin with, this year has been somewhat abnormal; We have a new president/administration, interest rates are still elevated, but coming down to earth a little, inflation isn't quite where the Fed ways it, but not too far off, and there has been so much activity in the markets.
Our 'Active Inventory' has started to increase at a sooner time in the year than expected and we have seen a 40%+ increase in pending sales (compared to last month). While some of this might seem unexpected, I would say we're seeing the machine start to fire again after 2 years of hesitancy. Homeowners have sat on the sidelines for a long time and homebuyers have waited for a while (years now) to see some sort of exhale in skyhigh interest rates. In my opinion, we may be just seeing the tip of the iceberg.
I want to take a moment to address inflation/interest rates. This is my opinion, I welcome yours, but the Trump Administration has been very outspoken about their desire to put pressure on J. Powell to bring rates lower. The problem; Powell is not controlled by the president. However, the Federal Reserve will likely cut rates if we see economic data that appears concerning. I'm not saying it's intentional, however I do think the stock crash we've seen recently has played a bigger role in putting more pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower rates.
There's a lot of fear out there right now regarding a potential recession, but if you read my newsletters you may remember one quote that I often use: 'Anticipation is Mitigation.' In otherwords, any fear we're seeing right now, is already accounted for moving forward. That said, I would anticipate a fairly strong rest of the year as we expect multiple rate cuts.