Either way, you’re in luck when it comes to New York real estate — because we have it all! However, the new—as in new development condos—might be harder to come by in the very near future.
Many of the recent developments have been selling successfully and briskly, so the demand for “new” remains strong. But the pipeline of upcoming buildings has thinned amid the high cost of financing, the scarcity of buildable sites, and the lack of city incentives to create new luxury housing. In the second quarter of this year, only 3,600 units remained unsold — a 10-year low — and just five additional buildings are projected to deliver around 245 more new units in Manhattan this year.
We experienced a post-pandemic boom of inventory when developers snapped up parcels for assemblage during the era of cheap financing. Those projects have since been completed and most of that inventory has now sold.
When interest rates rose in 2022–2023, land acquisitions largely paused — creating today’s lull in new inventory that otherwise would be hitting the market right about now.
The steepest decline can be seen on the Upper West Side, where only 51 new condo units are expected to come to market over the next three years, compared to nearly 1,000 units in the last development cycle between 2016 and 2019.
It’s good news for developers with projects in the works, but bad news for lovers of new construction — options will be limited. It’s also likely to drive more sales in the few projects that still have units remaining. The drought will take years to resolve, especially since it typically takes three years from groundbreaking to launch and sales.
As always, it comes down to supply and demand — and the lack of supply will undoubtedly push prices in new developments higher, further fueled by the fact that many buyers now prefer “new” over “old,” especially when developments offer abundant amenities like gyms, pools, game rooms, spas, pet spas, and more.
So if you are in the market it might be a good time to explore resales (old or new)!
And speaking of old and new — the much-anticipated Flatiron Building condos are finally launching! There are a handful of landmark buildings in New York that are truly iconic, and 175 Fifth Avenue is one of them. Now, for the first time in its storied history, this magnificent silhouette is being transformed from offices into private residences — thirty-eight in total.
The redevelopment includes a meticulous restoration honoring the Flatiron’s 1902 Beaux-Arts heritage while bringing it squarely into the 21st century. More than 1,000 windows will be replaced, thousands of delicate terra-cotta details repaired, and the six-foot cornice crowning the building carefully restored. At night, the Flatiron will glow with a newly approved LED lighting scheme illuminating its distinctive wedge-shaped form, casting a soft halo over Madison Square Park.
The “entry-level” home — a roughly 3,000-square-foot, three-bedroom, three-bath residence — is priced just under $11,000,000. Four-bedroom layouts start in the $15,000,000 range. The 20th-floor residence, measuring approximately 7,400 square feet, is listed for $48,000,000. And then there’s the penthouse — the crown jewel of an already glittering offering. Though pricing has not yet been released, the residence will encompass about 4,600 square feet of interior space with four bedrooms, four-and-a-half baths, and a wraparound terrace exceeding 3,200 square feet.
Top-tier amenities will include a pool, hot spa, and cold plunge, as well as a fitness center, lounge, game room, and bar.
To me, this conversion represents more than just another luxury development. It’s a rare synthesis of history, design, and scarcity — an architectural monument reborn for contemporary residential living. Not just another glass tower or new supertall.
There could be worse places to live!