Resilient! The Manhattan market proved its resilience yet again in the third quarter of 2025. Despite political noise and rising borrowing costs over the summer, buyers and sellers stayed active — and in some cases, remarkably aggressive. Closed sales rose to their highest third-quarter level in years, with nearly 3,200 transactions recorded and dollar volume north of $6 billion. That’s not just a rebound — it’s momentum!
What’s driving this? Quite simply, demand across the spectrum. Entry-level buyers are still stretching to secure co-ops, even as inventory in that segment thins. The middle of the market — $1M to $3M — remains the bread-and-butter of Manhattan, capturing the largest share of sales. But the real story this quarter was luxury: sales above $5 million surged to a ten-year high in market share, and condos priced above $3 million now represent a full quarter of all closings. It’s clear that equity gains, generational wealth transfers, and the desire for larger spaces are fueling this upper-tier strength.
Contracts signed tell a similar story of steady demand, though with some moderation after a busy spring. Contracts were up slightly from a year ago but fell compared to Q2. Interestingly, sellers have been more flexible on pricing — average contract prices slipped, which gave buyers renewed confidence to act. Larger homes led the way, with three-bedroom and bigger apartments commanding strong interest, especially from growing families and investors seeking long-term value.
Inventory is stable but nuanced (always the case these days). Overall listings were essentially flat compared to last year, but the composition shifted: co-op inventory contracted sharply while condo supply expanded. Ultra-luxury supply, especially in the $10M–$20M range, is tightening considerably. That scarcity, paired with resilient demand, has kept pricing firm. Median prices pushed to a post-pandemic high of about $1.2 million, and average price per square foot held in the $1,500–$1,800 range — right around long-term norms.
For new developments, the picture is mixed. We saw fewer launches and a softening of prices, particularly as closings concentrated in less expensive submarkets. Yet even here, buyers remain engaged, looking for quality and value in equal measure. A real scarcity of upcoming new development projects will reduce inventory in the coming years.
Stepping back, what stands out to me is how Manhattan continues to defy the skeptics. With nearly two-thirds of all sales closed in cash, and virtually all $3M+ deals financed without banks, this is a market driven by wealth, lifestyle, and long-term confidence. Political headlines may come and go, but the fundamentals — limited supply, global demand, and New York’s unmatched appeal — remain as solid as ever.
As I reflect on the quarter personally for me and my team, I am filled with gratitude for the trust so many clients place in us. Through the third quarter of 2025, we had the privilege of assisting 64 families and individuals in finding their place in New York — whether that meant the joy of a first purchase, the excitement of an upgrade, or the difficult decision to sell a cherished home.
Together, these transactions represented more than $150 million in sales volume. Behind every sale is a story (and very often a complex story) and a set of problems to be solved our clients. It is those stories — of people, families, and their homes — that inspire our work every single day! And for that I am deeply thankful to my clients, colleagues, friends, and team for allowing me to do what I love in the city I love.